Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.133244 0.148015 0.163125 0.179699 0.197329 0.215484 0.235554
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.115452 0.136179 0.158168 0.183098 0.210447 0.239410 0.272276
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.101396 0.126126 0.153204 0.184769 0.220274 0.258717 0.303225
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.089396 0.116868 0.147834 0.184835 0.227372 0.274300 0.329547
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080214 0.109821 0.144092 0.185954 0.234996 0.289972 0.355601
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.071457 0.102415 0.139189 0.185059 0.239750 0.301959 0.377163
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.066263 0.098852 0.138437 0.188691 0.249487 0.319465 0.404918
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060489 0.094042 0.135735 0.189602 0.255702 0.332661 0.427546
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055140 0.089336 0.132788 0.189885 0.260899 0.344469 0.448425
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049830 0.084256 0.129009 0.188819 0.264199 0.353834 0.466291
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045973 0.080857 0.127157 0.189972 0.270066 0.366169 0.487627
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044046 0.080010 0.128550 0.195199 0.280961 0.384588 0.516301
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040085 0.076101 0.125824 0.195191 0.285525 0.395671 0.536691
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037451 0.073951 0.125355 0.198055 0.293696 0.411206 0.562571
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034575 0.071206 0.123889 0.199464 0.299923 0.424314 0.585521
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031496 0.067892 0.121424 0.199366 0.304091 0.434792 0.605232
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029034 0.065360 0.119924 0.200460 0.309729 0.447075 0.627174
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026225 0.062012 0.117039 0.199481 0.312520 0.455690 0.644532
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024880 0.061038 0.117604 0.203275 0.321628 0.472342 0.671960
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022941 0.058858 0.116223 0.204222 0.326866 0.484024 0.693177
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021007 0.056512 0.114456 0.204514 0.331150 0.494446 0.712807
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018926 0.053693 0.111798 0.203393 0.333421 0.502212 0.729057
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017494 0.051975 0.110786 0.204602 0.338836 0.514045 0.750485